Patient Cohort → Revenue

Configure assumptions, execute forecast, compare scenarios

Start Date

Forecast Length (months)(months)

Forecast End Date

Edit either this date or the number of months; the other value stays synchronized.

New Patient Annual Growth(%)

Year-over-year growth rate for new patient starts (NBRx)

Avg Refills / Patient / Year(fills/yr)

Average number of prescription fills per patient per year (including initial)

Persistency Curve

M10

M11

M12

Monthly fill rate distribution (12 values). Month 1 = 1.0 (initial fill); months 2–12 are normalized weights.

Dose(mg/kg)

Drug dose per kilogram of patient body weight

Avg Patient Weight(kg)

Average patient body weight

mg / Vial(mg)

Milligrams of drug per vial

WAC / Vial (current)($)

Wholesale Acquisition Cost per vial at model start

Annual Price Increase(%)

Annual WAC price increase applied each January

GTN (current)(%)

Current Gross-to-Net discount rate

GTN Annual Improvement(%)

Amount GTN decreases each year (improves net realization)

⇪ Upload Actuals

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Configure & Execute

Adjust assumptions in the left panel, then click Execute Forecast to generate a monthly time-series forecast. Set a baseline, tweak assumptions, and compare scenarios.

AI Assistant

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Methodology Assistant

Ask about assumptions, forecast results, or request changes.